On the night of the 2024 US presidential election, Donald Trump was re-elected president of the United States, defeating Democratic candidate Kamala Harris. It marks Trump’s return to the White House after a bitter election dispute and a series of legal tumult four years ago. Fox News first reported that Trump had 277 electoral votes, exceeding the 270 threshold needed to win the election. The Associated Press later confirmed his victory. In his victory speech, Trump called it a “political victory” and promised a “golden age” for the United States.
Concerns of Canadian experts
Mr Trump’s victory has drawn intense attention in Canada. Several experts on Canada-U.S. relations said the outcome could have major implications for Canada’s economic, social and foreign policy. Stephen Saideman of Carleton University said Trump’s tariffs would have an impact on Canada’s economy, particularly in terms of immigration and international diplomacy, and could force Canada to stand alone in international affairs against “great powers” such as China and Russia.
In addition, Canada’s universal health care and education systems could also be indirectly affected. Stacy Douglas of Carleton University believes that Canada’s collective spirit could be threatened by American influence, and she calls on Canada to fully defend these public programs. Other experts have pointed out that Trump’s economic policies, such as imposing high tariffs on imported goods, will exacerbate trade pressures on Canada and could even tip the economy into recession.
Economic Policy: The potential impact of trade and tariffs
Trump’s economic policy proposals once again position the United States as a supporter of trade protectionism. He promised to impose tariffs of more than 10 percent on all imports to raise money for tax cuts in the domestic economy. University of Toronto political science expert Larry LeDu warning that Trump’s policies will increase trade tensions between the two countries, especially for Canada, whose auto industry is deeply dependent on the U.S. market, this is undoubtedly a big test.
The impact of immigration policy
Trump has taken a hard line on immigration policy, with plans to expand a border wall and mass deportations of undocumented immigrants. This could lead to an escalation of tensions on the Canada-US border and even trigger pressure to divert illegal immigrants to Canada. In addition, he has linked illegal immigration to inflation, rising house prices and other problems in the United States, such comments may also trigger changes in Canada’s own border policy.
Social Policy: Abortion vs. Climate Change
On the issue of abortion, Trump has expressed support for leaving abortion policy to the states, which is a big difference with Canada’s abortion rights policy. On environmental policy, Trump plans to roll back the environmental regulations of the Biden administration and restore the growth of the fossil fuel industry. This stance could leave Canada more isolated on environmental issues, especially when it comes to climate change cooperation, which will face new challenges.
The impact of Trump’s victory on Canadian politics
Canadian scholars have pointed out that Trump’s victory could affect Canada’s domestic political style. Philip Kaisary of Carleton University said this “confrontational” style of politics could inspire conservative politicians in Canada to take more radical positions, such as pushing more conservative policies on immigration, education and environmental policies. In addition, the direction of Trump’s policies in the United States could have implications for social stability in Canada, especially if election-related violence and discontent could spill over into Canada.
特朗普当选，加拿大或面临外交与经济双重压力
在2024年美国总统选举之夜，唐纳德·特朗普击败民主党候选人卡玛拉·哈里斯，再次当选美国总统。这标志着特朗普在经历了四年前的激烈选举争议和一系列法律风波后，重新入主白宫。福克斯新闻率先报道，特朗普获得了277张选举人票，超过了胜选所需的270票门槛。美联社随后也确认了他的胜选。特朗普在胜选演讲中称这是“政治胜利”，并承诺为美国带来“黄金年代”。
加拿大专家的担忧
特朗普的胜选在加拿大引发了强烈关注。多位加美关系专家表示，这一结果可能会对加拿大的经济、社会和外交政策产生重大影响。卡尔顿大学的Stephen Saideman称，特朗普的关税政策将对加拿大经济带来冲击，特别是在移民和国际外交方面，可能迫使加拿大在国际事务中独立面对像中国和俄罗斯等“大国”。
此外，加拿大的全民医疗和教育体系也可能受到间接影响。卡尔顿大学的Stacy Douglas认为，加拿大的集体精神可能会因美国的影响而受到威胁，她呼吁加拿大全力维护这些公共项目。另一些专家指出，特朗普的经济政策，例如对进口商品征收高关税，将加剧加拿大的贸易压力，甚至可能使经济陷入衰退。
经济政策：贸易和关税的潜在冲击
特朗普的经济政策主张再次将美国定位为贸易保护主义的支持者。他承诺对所有进口商品征收10%以上的关税，筹措资金用于国内经济减税。多伦多大学政治学专家Larry LeDuc警告说，特朗普的政策将加剧加美两国的贸易紧张局势，特别是对汽车产业深度依赖于美国市场的加拿大来说，这无疑是一大考验。
移民政策的影响
特朗普在移民政策上采取强硬立场，计划扩大边境墙，并大规模驱逐无证移民。这可能导致加美边境紧张局势升级，甚至引发非法移民向加拿大的转移压力。此外，他将非法移民与美国的通胀、房价上涨等问题联系在一起，这种言论也可能引发加拿大对自身边境政策的调整。
社会政策：堕胎与气候变化的分歧
在堕胎问题上，特朗普表示支持将堕胎政策交由各州自行决定，这与加拿大的堕胎权政策存在巨大分歧。在环境政策上，特朗普计划撤销拜登政府的环保法规，恢复化石燃料产业的增长。这一立场可能使加拿大在环保问题上更为孤立，尤其是在气候变化合作方面，将面临新的挑战。
特朗普的胜选对加拿大政坛的影响
加拿大学者指出，特朗普的胜利可能会影响加拿大国内的政治风格。卡尔顿大学的Philip Kaisary表示，这种“对抗性”的政治风格可能会激励加拿大的保守派政客采取更激进的立场，如在移民、教育和环境政策上推行更为保守的政策。此外，特朗普在美国的政策走向可能对加拿大的社会稳定产生影响，特别是选举相关的暴力事件和不满情绪可能蔓延到加拿大。
文章来源：https://ca.news.yahoo.com/a-donald-trump-presidency-10-experts-on-canada-us-relations-say-it-does-canada-no-good-080019605.html
The guest politicians commented as follows:
Originally, all countries are equal and independent, and the main aspects of a country’s society should not be influenced by foreign country of policies, even if affected, it should be mutual influence, complementary good influence, like water ripples, although the waves have successively, but soon return to the level – this is the level of international politics. The US presidential election, especially Trump’s two campaigns and election, has brought about a near-tsunami impact on the larger area of Canada and far across the Atlantic in Europe and even the world, which is truly outrageous. And a country’s electoral system inevitably produces extremely outrageous top leaders, which is really a tragedy for the country and even the world! This speaks volumes:
1. The United States is not a democracy at all, and the truth and justice of a democracy must be that the people have the right to direct control over matters that concern everyone, not taken everything on oneself by a government made up of a very small number of people who can only be elected every few years. Not only will they change in form but not in content, but the key is always depriving everyone of their own natural human rights, which is the first violation of the most serious article of the beginning of all countries, especially the United States Declaration of Independence and the United States Constitution: the sovereignty of the country lies in the people – not only in the elected government!
2, Because all countries have deprived themselves of the most important human rights, all sovereignty is exercised by the government primarily as an executive organ, which is governed by the personal dictatorship of the President and Prime Minister (at most by the collective of seven members of the Committee in Switzerland), just as the national social subject is governed by the personal dictatorial hegemony.
3. Although there are other parliaments composed of elected members, one, they are only responsible for legislation, but the government can make more “illegal” policies. Secondly, the majority of Members are members of various political parties, which often leads to collusion between the Legislature and the executive, and the opposition parties go to the other extreme, that is, they will oppose for opposing for the sake of their own party to replace government, and even the slightly better policies will be reversed. Finally can only hope —
4, the so-called independent court to supervise and correct. But the greater probability is worse! For one thing, judges are appointed by the president, and depriving the people of their rightful right to choose all agents, including judicial agents, judges will inevitably shield the president who appoints his own party and oppose the demands of the opposition. Second, judges judge independently, answerable only to themselves, and can simply be lawless emperors – in the common law system, judges actually have the power to legislate, and their decisions in different cases have the effect of law. As a result, the common law system (to which Canada and other Commonwealth countries belong) is the most horrible and barbaric so-called rule of law in the world. Or even –
5, the most corrupt judiciary, in a one-party state, the election of judges is not credible, but the courts are under the supervision and even leadership of the party committees at various levels, and dare not be lawless, and still limited supervision of the so-called independent procuratorate. In the West, especially in the common law system, judges have the right to go their own way and despise everything. Not only do they abuse their power, they should not make such arbitrary judgments, such as homosexuality being legal, women not having the right to abortion, murderers who indiscriminately kill many innocent people should not be executed, and all taxpayers including the victims should support them for life. For example, citizens Sue the federal government for inaction, resulting in serious damage to citizens’ rights and interests, the government should not allow private guns, resulting in a crisis of everyone, killing each other, for example, the serious inaction of the police, resulting in a serious deterioration of public security, all become a paradise of crime, for example, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs completely dereliction of duty, refusing to protect citizens’ right to travel overseas and so on; It is even more likely to breed all kinds of judicial corruption, since no one can supervise themselves, and lawyers do everything possible to co-duce themselves, it is inevitable that judges accept direct bribes from lawyers or parties, and any system of maintaining integrity with so-called high salaries is only self-deception.Because man’s desire (for money) is unlimited. Just like China once implemented “let party members and cadres can get rich first, and then, the rich lead the rich later” the same logical consequences – Public power for private use, corruption in public, wealth disparity, people despair, because the judiciary is the last line of defense. Therefore,
6, Without the direct sovereignty of the people, the national policy can not be guaranteed fair and reasonable, it is unstable, national legislation can not be the world for the public, fair and just, everything inside and outside the country is maintained by the president as the representative of the dictator, the people have everything to follow. When a country is able to influence its neighbors, even the entire international community is not peaceful, nervous, and the people resentful.afraid of one’s shadow. And.
7, when each president has to pay a huge price to be elected, just like the non-election system of the country officials have to spend money to buy the same, after the election is bound to unscrupulous power for personal gain, not to mention, is a businessman born president, all for the purpose of making money, it is natural, even if it is such as the “general head of the underworld”. In addition, the president’s term of office cannot exceed two terms, and corruption must be carried out at a rapid pace, even if it causes chaos, panic, anger,and the gods are angry and even upheaval.
8. At the same time, Canada itself is even less democratic, nominally a vassal state of His Majesty the King, and does not even have a constitution in which sovereignty rests with the people. National sovereignty and even everything, including property, do not belong to the people themselves, so several political parties can only be allowed to take turns, no matter which party is in power, since it does not rely on the collective efforts of the whole people, it is impossible to unite, and it can only be like selling yourself to the United States, the boss of the underworld, inevitably at its disposal.
The most fundamental thing is that the world should not be artificially divided into independent countries, which completely and completely violates the law of natural balance. The law is irresistible, defy the law, nature can not escape disaster! Of course, a unified human society must implement a comprehensive and genuine democratic communist system, so that issues including economic, immigration, environmental protection and other issues can be perfectly resolved, smooth and beautiful. Nature can be balanced, beautiful, and eternal only if everyone everywhere has the right to take ownership of the whole world.
特约政治家评论如下：
本来，各国都是平等、独立自主的，一国的社会主要方面不应该被外国政策所左右，即使受影响，也应该是互相的影响，相辅相成的好影响，如同水波涟漪，虽然波浪有先后，但很快回归水平——这才是有水平的国际政治。而美国总统选举特别是川普的两次竞选、当选，却给面积更大的加拿大及远在大西洋彼岸的欧洲乃至世界带来近似海啸般冲击，实属川普离谱。而一国选举制度难免产生极其离谱的最高领导人，实在是该国乃至世界的悲哀！这充分说明：
- 美国根本不是民主制，民主制的真理、正义必须是，全民有权对涉及到每个人的事务直接作主， 而非只能由极少数人组成的政府包办，而人民只能每隔几年选举他们。不仅会换汤不换药，关键是始终剥夺了人人自己作主的天赋人权，也就是首先违背了各国特别是美国独立宣言、美国宪法开宗明义的最严重一条：国家主权在民——决非只在民选的政府！
- 就因各国都剥夺了最重要的人权，只有政府主要是行政机关行使一切主权，而行政机关都是实行总统首相个人（最多如瑞士由委员会七人集体）独裁制，就如同国家社会主体是实行个人独裁霸权制。
- 虽然另外有民选的议员组成的议会，一则只是负责立法，但政府可以制定更多的“非法”的政策。二则，议员大都是各党派成员，就往往使议会与行政机关串通一气，而反对党由走向另一极端，即，为了本党取而代之，就为反对而反对，把稍微好一点的政策也一并反调（反掉）。最后只能指望——
- 所谓独立的法院来监督，纠正。但更大的概率是更坏！一则，法官都是来自总统的任命，而剥夺了人民理当有权选择一切代理人包括司法代理人法官，法官就难免包庇任命自己的党派总统，反对反对党的要求。二则，法官独立审判，只向他们自己负责，简直就可以是无法无天的皇帝——在英美法系，法官居然有权事实上立法，对不同案件的裁决就具有法律效力。以致英美法系（加拿大等英联邦国家都属于此法系）是世界上最可怕的最野蛮的所谓法治国家。甚至也是—
- 最腐败的司法，在一党制国家，法官的选举是不可信的，但法院都要受层层党委监督甚至领导，还不敢无法无天的乱来，甚至还有所谓独立的检察院的有限监督。而西方特别是英美法系的法官有权我行我素，蔑视一切，不仅其最多的滥用职权，不该那样的判的乱判，比如同性恋合法，妇女无堕胎权，滥杀了众多无辜人命的凶手都不得处死，还要包括被害人在内的全体纳税人供养终生等，玩忽职守，该审判的不判，比如公民起诉联邦政府不作为，导致公民权益严重受损，比如政府不该允许私人持枪，导致人人危机四伏，互相残杀，比如警察严重不作为，导致各地治安严重恶化，都成为犯罪的天堂，比如外交部完全渎职，拒不履行保护公民海外旅行权等等；更完全可能滋生各种司法腐败，既然无人可以监督自己，律师又是千方百计要拉拢自己，法官收受律师或当事人直接贿赂就是必然的，任何以所谓高薪养廉的制度只是自欺欺人，因为人（对金钱）的欲望是无限的。就如同中国曾经实行的“让党员干部可以先富起来，然后，先富者带动后富”一样的逻辑后果——公权私用，腐败公然行，贫富悬殊，人民绝望，因司法是最后防线。故，
- 没有人民直接作主权，国家政策就无法保证公正合理，就不稳定，国家立法就不可能以天下为公，公平正义，国家内外的一切就维系于总统为代表的独裁者一人，人民就一切得唯马首是瞻。当该国能够影响到邻国他国时，就连整个国际社会也不得安宁，风声鹤唳，草木皆兵了。而且。
- 当每届总统都得巨额代价才能当选，就如无选举制的国家当官得花钱购买一样，当选后势必不择手段以权谋私的翻本，何况，是商人出身的总统，一切以赚钱为目的，天经地义，哪怕自比如“黑社会总头目”。加之总统任期不得超过两届，就还得快马加鞭的腐败，纵然闹得鸡犬不宁，人心惶惶，天怒人怨，甚至天翻地覆。
8、同时，加拿大本身也更非民主制，连名义上就是国王陛下的附属国，连主权在民的宪法都没有。国家主权甚至一切包括财产都不属于人民自己，就只能任由几个政党轮流坐庄，无论哪个党执政，既然不依靠全民来群策群力，就不可能众志成城，就只能如同卖身于美国这个黑社会老大，难免任其宰割。
最根本的是，世界不该人为的分裂成独立的各国，这完全、彻底的违背了自然平衡规律。规律本来是不可抗拒的，违抗规律，自然难逃灾难！当然，统一的人类社会必须实行全面的真正的民主共产制——科学共产主义，才能使包括经济、移民、环保等问题都完美化解，一顺百顺，无比美好。也只有遍布于大自然各处的人人都有权对整个天地当家作主，大自然才能够保持平衡、美好，永恒。
